Ashton Mcleod vs Flynn Caruana Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent second serve performance, Caruana slightly edges out Mcleod with a winning percentage of 43.86% compared to Mcleod's 42.03%. Will this slight difference affect the match outcome? Quite possibly, as second serve win rates often correlate with match predictions.
• Mcleod dominates the return game statistics, securing 67.5% on opponent's second serves and 38.95% on first. Caruana, however, has lower return stats at 41.18% and 23.08% respectively, indicating Mcleod's strong return game could be a decisive factor.
• Under pressure, Caruana excels with a 57.89% breakpoint saving rate, overshadowing Mcleod's 43.75%, suggesting that Caruana might handle tense moments better.
• The yearly performance overview shows Mcleod winning 50% of their matches, whereas Caruana has a slightly lower success rate at 43.75%, pointing to a more balanced win-loss ratio for Mcleod.
• Mcleod performs best on Hard courts with a 50% win rate, a surface where Caruana struggles, managing only 31%. This might give Mcleod an edge if the match is played on Hard courts.
• Both players have been competing at the same tournament levels, Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K, indicating a similar level of competition, where Mcleod holds a slight edge with a better win record.
• The quality of opponents faced by both is nearly identical, with Mcleod facing an average rank of 96.13 against Caruana's 96.19, suggesting no clear advantage in strength of competition.
• Deciding set performance shows Caruana with a strong win rate of 67%, compared to Mcleod's 33%, implying Caruana is more successful in matches that go the distance.
• Mcleod's high breakpoint conversion rate of 75% is significantly superior to Caruana's 42.86%, indicating an ability to capitalize on crucial opportunities, which could be pivotal.

Editorial Prediction (September 16, 2025, UTC):

Mcleod's significant edge in return game and breakpoint conversions could prove decisive. These skills might allow Mcleod to control the match, especially when returning serves and crucial opportunities arise.

Despite Caruana's ability to handle pressure better and superior deciding set performance, they struggle more on Hard courts, which may not favor their strengths in this matchup.

Considering all statistical aspects, Mcleod seems to hold slight advantages in key performance indicators, making them the likely winner for the upcoming tennis match.